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Economic Impacts of 2°C vs 1.5°C, 215

Difference in projected change in annual GDP per capita growth under 2°C versus 1.5°C global mean surface temperature increase relative to no additional warming.
Projection from Pretis, Schwarz, Tang, Haustein, and Allen (in Phil Trans. 2018).

0No data-4%-2%-1.5%-1%-0.5%0%0.25%0.5%1%1.5%2%
World
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm •

Source: Uncertain impacts of 1.5°or 2°C warming - Pretis et al. 2018, doi: 10.1098/rsta.2016.0460

Note: Map shows median impact on economic growth, bar charts show 97.5% - 2.5% (2SD) and 83% - 17% (1SD) range of likely impacts.

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